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With the continues violations of the “de-escalation” agreement, will the Syrian army do a military action in “Idlib”.

The recent field events on the fighting fronts between the Syrian army and the Turkish factions in the countryside of "Idlib" and "Hama"

With the continues violations of the “de-escalation” agreement, will the Syrian army do a military action in “Idlib”.

The recent field events on the fighting fronts between the Syrian army and the Turkish factions in the countryside of “Idlib” and “Hama” show a significant increase in the frequency of attacks and violations carried out by the Turkish factions within the “de-escalation” zone, especially during the past days, which the countryside of Idlib in particular has returned to the forefront of the Syrian military scene.

Over the past few days, the countryside of Idlib and Hama witnessed an unusual escalation by the Turkish forces and their factions, represented by intense attacks carried out towards villages and towns within the areas of the Syrian state, especially in the town of “Khan al-Sabil” and the villages of “Hazarin”, Basqla south of Idlib, in addition to “Al-Qarqur”, “Khirbet Al-Naqous”, “Zayzoun” and “Qastoun” in the “Al-Ghab Plain” area west of Hama.

The intense attacks by the militants prompted the Syrian army to respond to them through focused targeting of several headquarters of the militants in “Deir Sunbul”, “Maarat Misrin”, “Jericho”, “Al-Fatirah” and “Benin” coinciding with its recent recruitment of military reinforcements to various fronts south of Idlib.

The recent military reinforcements of the Syrian army indicate the possibility of its tendency to start a military operation towards the areas under the control of the militants in the countryside of Idlib, especially since the Turkish forces and their factions had previously mobilized during the past months a large number of their militants on the axis of the province, in clear violation of the ceasefire agreement between Russia and Turkey.

The militants’ continued violations of the “de-escalation” agreement for months also reflect the apparent failure of the Turkish side to control its affiliated factions and to obligate them to the terms of the agreement, which Russia has talked about several times and stressed its seriousness.

Russia has previously noted on more than one occasion that the continued Turkish failure to abide by the terms of the “de-escalation” agreement will eventually lead to a change in the field scene, indicating that the situation in the “Idlib” countryside will not remain the same, but military action will be resorted to if the factions continues with their breaches.

What increases the possibility that the Syrian army will go to military action in order to restore stability in the countryside of Idlib is that the southern axis of this countryside have been witnessing for months a clear mobilization by the Turkish forces and their factions, especially with the establishment of the illegal Turkish base in the vicinity of the town of “Al-Bara” and supplied it with various heavy military equipment, in another violation of the “de-escalation” agreement.

The military reinforcements and the accompanying mobilization of the factions on the fighting fronts warn that the Turkish forces intend to launch military action on their part towards the areas of the Syrian state south of “Idlib”, which threatens in particular the “Aleppo-Damascus” international road which was reopened more than a year ago.

In light of these information, it appears that the military action by the Syrian army in the countryside of Idlib is imminent, not only with the aim of restoring stability to the area, but also in response to the Turkish threat that is escalating in the absence of any commitment by the Turkish forces and the militias to the terms of the “de-escalation” agreement.

According to the latest monitoring of the Russian Ministry of Defense, the armed factions loyal to Turkey carried out about 30 violations of the “de-escalation” agreement during the past 24 hours, most of which were distributed in the “Idlib” countryside through 13 bombing operations targeting villages and towns within areas the Syrian state, in addition to 7 attacks committed in Lattakia, 3 in Hama, and 6 in Aleppo countryside.

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